Marathon Digital Holdings Stock Performance

MARA Stock  USD 7.97  0.01  0.13%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 3.09, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Marathon Digital will likely underperform. At this point, Marathon Digital Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to verify Marathon Digital's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Marathon Digital Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Marathon Digital Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.13
Five Day Return
3.78
Year To Date Return
(19.58)
Ten Year Return
(79.33)
All Time Return
(93.34)
Last Split Factor
1:4
Dividend Date
2019-04-08
Last Split Date
2019-04-08
1
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. Stock Slides as Market Rises Facts to Know Before You Trade
01/09/2026
2
Disposition of 27505 shares by Frederick Thiel of Marathon Digital at 10.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
3
Disposition of 14301 shares by Zabi Nowaid of Marathon Digital at 9.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
4
Is MARA Holdings Options Spike Revealing a Deeper Shift in Its Bitcoin-Linked Risk Profile
02/06/2026
5
Marathon Digital Shares Gap Down Heres What Happened
02/11/2026
6
Head to Head Contrast Marathon Digital and Coinbase Global
02/12/2026
7
Acquisition by George Janet of 82759 shares of Marathon Digital subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2026
8
JPMorgan announces Bitcoin mining leader
02/18/2026
9
Acquisition by Salman Khan of 494798 shares of Marathon Digital subject to Rule 16b-3
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow357.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.2 B

Marathon Digital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,121  in Marathon Digital Holdings on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (324.00) from holding Marathon Digital Holdings or give up 28.9% of portfolio value over 90 days. Marathon Digital Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.6154% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 50% of stocks are less volatile than Marathon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Marathon Digital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Marathon Digital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Marathon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.97 90 days 7.97 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marathon Digital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Marathon Digital Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Marathon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.09 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Marathon Digital will likely underperform. Additionally Marathon Digital Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Marathon Digital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marathon Digital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marathon Digital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.758.3713.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.0710.6916.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.829.4315.05
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.8419.6021.76
Details

Marathon Digital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marathon Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marathon Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marathon Digital Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marathon Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.68
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Marathon Digital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marathon Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marathon Digital Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marathon Digital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Marathon Digital has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Marathon Digital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Marathon Digital Holdings currently holds about 86.46 M in cash with (677.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74.
Marathon Digital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Salman Khan of 494798 shares of Marathon Digital subject to Rule 16b-3

Marathon Digital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marathon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marathon Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding311.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments391.8 M

Marathon Digital Fundamentals Growth

Marathon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Marathon Digital, and Marathon Digital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Marathon Stock performance.

About Marathon Digital Performance

By analyzing Marathon Digital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Marathon Digital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Marathon Digital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Marathon Digital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 11.55  9.22 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Things to note about Marathon Digital Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marathon Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Marathon Digital Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marathon Digital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Marathon Digital has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Marathon Digital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Marathon Digital Holdings currently holds about 86.46 M in cash with (677.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.74.
Marathon Digital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Salman Khan of 494798 shares of Marathon Digital subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Marathon Digital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Marathon Digital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Marathon Digital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Marathon Digital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Marathon Digital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Marathon Digital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Marathon Digital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Marathon Digital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Marathon Digital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Marathon Digital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Marathon Digital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Marathon Digital's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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